New Mexico vs Hawaii 10/13/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with New Mexico winning 46% of simulations, and Hawaii 54% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. New Mexico commits fewer turnovers in 63% of simulations and they go on to win 54% when they take care of the ball. Hawaii wins 72% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Kasey Carrier is averaging 59 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. Will Gregory is averaging 42 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (22% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is HAW +3

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